AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 11-3131.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Training and Development Managers?

Plan, direct, or coordinate the training and development activities and staff of an organization.

Estimated AI task exposure
89%

Very High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

12 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

81/100

Physical moat

4/100

Human moat

25/100

Rating coverage

100%

12 task statements / 12 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Analyze training needs to develop new training programs or modify and improve existing programs.
Importance 90/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 47/100Weight 0.83
Plan, develop, and provide training and staff development programs, using knowledge of the effectiveness of methods such as classroom training, demonstrations, on-the-job training, meetings, conferences, and workshops.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 48/100Weight 0.81
Evaluate instructor performance and the effectiveness of training programs, providing recommendations for improvement.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 40/100Weight 0.79
Develop and organize training manuals, multimedia visual aids, and other educational materials.
Importance 77/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 46/100Weight 0.77
Confer with management and conduct surveys to identify training needs based on projected production processes, changes, and other factors.
Importance 82/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 32/100Weight 0.76
Conduct orientation sessions and arrange on-the-job training for new hires.
Importance 80/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 36/100Weight 0.75
Train instructors and supervisors in techniques and skills for training and dealing with employees.
Importance 79/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 30/100Weight 0.73
Conduct or arrange for ongoing technical training and personal development classes for staff members.
Importance 66/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 34/100Weight 0.70
Develop testing and evaluation procedures.
Importance 70/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 27/100Weight 0.69
Prepare training budget for department or organization.
Importance 75/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 14/100Weight 0.68

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$133,000

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

48,050

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+6.4%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

4

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

84 points lower exposure • 55% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

84 points lower exposure • 53% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

9%

80 points lower exposure • 55% profile similarity

Median wage: $61,010 Growth 2025–2035: +10.9% Annual openings: 41

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

79 points lower exposure • 55% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Outdoor Power Equipment and Other Small Engine Mechanics

5%

84 points lower exposure • 52% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,880 Growth 2025–2035: +2.3% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers

6%

83 points lower exposure • 55% profile similarity

Median wage: $57,020 Growth 2025–2035: +1.6% Annual openings: 14

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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