AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 17-2112.03 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Manufacturing Engineers?

Design, integrate, or improve manufacturing systems or related processes. May work with commercial or industrial designers to refine product designs to increase producibility and decrease costs.

Estimated AI task exposure
83%

Very High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

24 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

82/100

Physical moat

22/100

Human moat

24/100

Rating coverage

100%

24 task statements / 24 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Troubleshoot new or existing product problems involving designs, materials, or processes.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 56/100Weight 0.83
Apply continuous improvement methods, such as lean manufacturing, to enhance manufacturing quality, reliability, or cost-effectiveness.
Importance 79/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 59/100Weight 0.82
Provide technical expertise or support related to manufacturing.
Importance 76/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 63/100Weight 0.80
Investigate or resolve operational problems, such as material use variances or bottlenecks.
Importance 82/100Relevance 92/100Frequency 56/100Weight 0.79
Identify opportunities or implement changes to improve manufacturing processes or products or to reduce costs, using knowledge of fabrication processes, tooling and production equipment, assembly methods, quality control standards, or product design, materials and parts.
Importance 80/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 46/100Weight 0.79
Communicate manufacturing capabilities, production schedules, or other information to facilitate production processes.
Importance 70/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 51/100Weight 0.77
Determine root causes of failures or recommend changes in designs, tolerances, or processing methods, using statistical procedures.
Importance 73/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 37/100Weight 0.74
Prepare documentation for new manufacturing processes or engineering procedures.
Importance 71/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 40/100Weight 0.74
Review product designs for manufacturability or completeness.
Importance 73/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 33/100Weight 0.73
Prepare reports summarizing information or trends related to manufacturing performance.
Importance 72/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 46/100Weight 0.72

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$102,440

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

365,740

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+12.4%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

23

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

78 points lower exposure • 58% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

78 points lower exposure • 59% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

9%

74 points lower exposure • 60% profile similarity

Median wage: $61,010 Growth 2025–2035: +10.9% Annual openings: 41

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Helpers--Extraction Workers

5%

78 points lower exposure • 57% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,730 Growth 2025–2035: +1.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

78 points lower exposure • 56% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

73 points lower exposure • 60% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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