AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 27-1021.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Commercial and Industrial Designers?

Design and develop manufactured products, such as cars, home appliances, and children's toys. Combine artistic talent with research on product use, marketing, and materials to create the most functional and appealing product design.

Estimated AI task exposure
80%

Very High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

17 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

77/100

Physical moat

18/100

Human moat

25/100

Rating coverage

100%

17 task statements / 17 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Prepare sketches of ideas, detailed drawings, illustrations, artwork, or blueprints, using drafting instruments, paints and brushes, or computer-aided design equipment.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 77/100Weight 0.89
Modify and refine designs, using working models, to conform with customer specifications, production limitations, or changes in design trends.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 70/100Weight 0.86
Confer with engineering, marketing, production, or sales departments, or with customers, to establish and evaluate design concepts for manufactured products.
Importance 74/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 56/100Weight 0.79
Evaluate feasibility of design ideas, based on factors such as appearance, safety, function, serviceability, budget, production costs/methods, and market characteristics.
Importance 77/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 56/100Weight 0.78
Present designs and reports to customers or design committees for approval and discuss need for modification.
Importance 74/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 44/100Weight 0.73
Research production specifications, costs, production materials, and manufacturing methods and provide cost estimates and itemized production requirements.
Importance 67/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 38/100Weight 0.71
Investigate product characteristics such as the product's safety and handling qualities, its market appeal, how efficiently it can be produced, and ways of distributing, using, and maintaining it.
Importance 61/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 43/100Weight 0.69
Direct and coordinate the fabrication of models or samples and the drafting of working drawings and specification sheets from sketches.
Importance 64/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 40/100Weight 0.68
Develop manufacturing procedures and monitor the manufacture of their designs in a factory to improve operations and product quality.
Importance 61/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 45/100Weight 0.67
Participate in new product planning or market research, including studying the potential need for new products.
Importance 57/100Relevance 71/100Frequency 40/100Weight 0.58

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$83,910

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

33,490

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+2.4%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

3

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

75 points lower exposure • 61% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

75 points lower exposure • 59% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers

9%

71 points lower exposure • 61% profile similarity

Median wage: $61,010 Growth 2025–2035: +10.9% Annual openings: 41

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Helpers--Extraction Workers

5%

75 points lower exposure • 58% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,730 Growth 2025–2035: +1.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

75 points lower exposure • 57% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

70 points lower exposure • 61% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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