AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 25-2023.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Career/Technical Education Teachers, Middle School?

Teach occupational, vocational, career, or technical subjects to students at the middle, intermediate, or junior high school level.

Estimated AI task exposure
40%

Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

31 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

42/100

Physical moat

12/100

Human moat

53/100

Rating coverage

100%

31 task statements / 31 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Instruct students individually and in groups, using various teaching methods, such as lectures, discussions, and demonstrations.
Importance 90/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 80/100Weight 0.88
Establish and enforce rules for behavior and procedures for maintaining order among students.
Importance 84/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 80/100Weight 0.88
Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
Importance 86/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 72/100Weight 0.88
Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to supplement presentations.
Importance 82/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 80/100Weight 0.86
Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate those objectives to students.
Importance 80/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 73/100Weight 0.86
Adapt teaching methods and instructional materials to meet students' varying needs and interests.
Importance 82/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 73/100Weight 0.85
Enforce all administration policies and rules governing students.
Importance 76/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 74/100Weight 0.82
Instruct and monitor students in the use and care of equipment and materials to prevent injuries and damage.
Importance 80/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 65/100Weight 0.81
Observe and evaluate students' performance, behavior, social development, and physical health.
Importance 79/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 72/100Weight 0.80
Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by laws, district policies, and administrative regulations.
Importance 77/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 64/100Weight 0.80

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$65,030

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

16,870

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

-0.5%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

1

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Substitute Teachers, Short-Term

12%

28 points lower exposure • 83% profile similarity

Median wage: $41,670 Growth 2025–2035: +2.0% Annual openings: 65

stronger human/judgment moat, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Teaching Assistants, Preschool, Elementary, Middle, and Secondary School, Except Special Education

19%

21 points lower exposure • 85% profile similarity

Median wage: Not published Growth 2025–2035: Not published Annual openings: Not published

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Athletes and Sports Competitors

21%

19 points lower exposure • 88% profile similarity

Median wage: $66,710 Growth 2025–2035: +5.5% Annual openings: 2

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

28 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

30 points lower exposure • 76% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Teaching Assistants, Special Education

22%

18 points lower exposure • 89% profile similarity

Median wage: Not published Growth 2025–2035: Not published Annual openings: Not published

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

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          AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

          What this score does not mean

          The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

          New in V11

          Find a Safer Career Path

          High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

          EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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