AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 25-3031.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Substitute Teachers, Short-Term?

Teach students on a short-term basis as a temporary replacement for a regular classroom teacher, typically using the regular teacher's lesson plan.

Estimated AI task exposure
12%

Low exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

18 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

21/100

Physical moat

16/100

Human moat

74/100

Rating coverage

100%

18 task statements / 18 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Enforce school and class rules to maintain order in the classroom.
Importance 92/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 81/100Weight 0.92
Answer students' questions.
Importance 92/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 78/100Weight 0.91
Take class attendance and maintain attendance records.
Importance 88/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 71/100Weight 0.88
Follow lesson plans designed by absent teachers.
Importance 90/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 73/100Weight 0.88
Distribute teaching materials, such as textbooks, workbooks, papers, and pencils, to students.
Importance 80/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 71/100Weight 0.85
Teach social skills to students, such as communication, conflict resolution, and etiquette.
Importance 83/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 66/100Weight 0.82
Distribute or collect tests or homework assignments.
Importance 81/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 59/100Weight 0.82
Supervise students during activities outside the classroom, such as recess, lunch, and field trips.
Importance 86/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 61/100Weight 0.81
Operate equipment such as computers or audio-visual aids to supplement presentations.
Importance 78/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 57/100Weight 0.81
Teach a variety of subjects, such as English, mathematics, and social studies.
Importance 80/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 63/100Weight 0.80

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$41,670

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

524,770

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+2.0%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

65

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas

5%

7 points lower exposure • 75% profile similarity

Median wage: $58,620 Growth 2025–2035: +1.6% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

7 points lower exposure • 72% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Pile Driver Operators

5%

7 points lower exposure • 70% profile similarity

Median wage: $73,300 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 0

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Sheet Metal Workers

5%

7 points lower exposure • 70% profile similarity

Median wage: $61,800 Growth 2025–2035: +2.5% Annual openings: 10

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

7 points lower exposure • 71% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers

14%

similar low-exposure profile • 81% profile similarity

Median wage: $39,390 Growth 2025–2035: +2.7% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

    • relationship building
    • judgment in ambiguous situations
    • communication and persuasion

    LEARN

    • leadership
    • negotiation
    • stakeholder communication
    • basic AI literacy

    AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

    What this score does not mean

    The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

    New in V11

    Find a Safer Career Path

    High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

    EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
    I am your guide.
    Knowledge is your strongest upgrade.