AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 11-3071.04 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Supply Chain Managers?

Direct or coordinate production, purchasing, warehousing, distribution, or financial forecasting services or activities to limit costs and improve accuracy, customer service, or safety. Examine existing procedures or opportunities for streamlining activities to meet product distribution needs. Direct the movement, storage, or processing of inventory.

Estimated AI task exposure
79%

High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

30 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

79/100

Physical moat

20/100

Human moat

30/100

Rating coverage

100%

30 task statements / 30 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Manage activities related to strategic or tactical purchasing, material requirements planning, controlling inventory, warehousing, or receiving.
Importance 80/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 60/100Weight 0.81
Determine appropriate equipment and staffing levels to load, unload, move, or store materials.
Importance 81/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 51/100Weight 0.81
Develop procedures for coordination of supply chain management with other functional areas, such as sales, marketing, finance, production, or quality assurance.
Importance 78/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 39/100Weight 0.76
Define performance metrics for measurement, comparison, or evaluation of supply chain factors, such as product cost or quality.
Importance 78/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 32/100Weight 0.75
Select transportation routes to maximize economy by combining shipments or consolidating warehousing and distribution.
Importance 78/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 45/100Weight 0.74
Implement new or improved supply chain processes to improve efficiency or performance.
Importance 78/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 30/100Weight 0.74
Monitor suppliers' activities to assess performance in meeting quality or delivery requirements.
Importance 74/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 34/100Weight 0.74
Negotiate prices and terms with suppliers, vendors, or freight forwarders.
Importance 76/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 35/100Weight 0.73
Analyze inventories to determine how to increase inventory turns, reduce waste, or optimize customer service.
Importance 76/100Relevance 86/100Frequency 44/100Weight 0.72
Meet with suppliers to discuss performance metrics, to provide performance feedback, or to discuss production forecasts or changes.
Importance 74/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 33/100Weight 0.72

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$107,230

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

221,180

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+6.1%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

18

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

74 points lower exposure • 59% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

69 points lower exposure • 62% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

74 points lower exposure • 57% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

67 points lower exposure • 63% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

74 points lower exposure • 59% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

74 points lower exposure • 57% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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