AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 15-1252.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Software Developers?

Research, design, and develop computer and network software or specialized utility programs. Analyze user needs and develop software solutions, applying principles and techniques of computer science, engineering, and mathematical analysis. Update software or enhance existing software capabilities. May work with computer hardware engineers to integrate hardware and software systems, and develop specifications and performance requirements. May maintain databases within an application area, working individually or coordinating database development as part of a team.

Estimated AI task exposure
80%

Very High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

17 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

81/100

Physical moat

20/100

Human moat

34/100

Rating coverage

100%

17 task statements / 17 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Analyze user needs and software requirements to determine feasibility of design within time and cost constraints.
Importance 77/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 52/100Weight 0.76
Develop or direct software system testing or validation procedures, programming, or documentation.
Importance 72/100Relevance 92/100Frequency 53/100Weight 0.75
Confer with systems analysts, engineers, programmers and others to design systems and to obtain information on project limitations and capabilities, performance requirements and interfaces.
Importance 69/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 55/100Weight 0.75
Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.
Importance 68/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 59/100Weight 0.74
Analyze information to determine, recommend, and plan installation of a new system or modification of an existing system.
Importance 65/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 42/100Weight 0.71
Store, retrieve, and manipulate data for analysis of system capabilities and requirements.
Importance 65/100Relevance 82/100Frequency 55/100Weight 0.69
Consult with customers or other departments on project status, proposals, or technical issues, such as software system design or maintenance.
Importance 59/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 44/100Weight 0.68
Determine system performance standards.
Importance 63/100Relevance 89/100Frequency 37/100Weight 0.67
Confer with data processing or project managers to obtain information on limitations or capabilities for data processing projects.
Importance 58/100Relevance 81/100Frequency 43/100Weight 0.63
Design, develop and modify software systems, using scientific analysis and mathematical models to predict and measure outcomes and consequences of design.
Importance 64/100Relevance 68/100Frequency 50/100Weight 0.62

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$135,980

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

1,687,890

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+10.2%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

95

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

70 points lower exposure • 62% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

75 points lower exposure • 57% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

68 points lower exposure • 63% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

75 points lower exposure • 57% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

11%

69 points lower exposure • 64% profile similarity

Median wage: $49,450 Growth 2025–2035: +1.5% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

75 points lower exposure • 57% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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