AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 11-9151.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Social and Community Service Managers?

Plan, direct, or coordinate the activities of a social service program or community outreach organization. Oversee the program or organization's budget and policies regarding participant involvement, program requirements, and benefits. Work may involve directing social workers, counselors, or probation officers.

Estimated AI task exposure
85%

Very High exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

16 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

80/100

Physical moat

8/100

Human moat

31/100

Rating coverage

100%

16 task statements / 16 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Direct activities of professional and technical staff members and volunteers.
Importance 84/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 67/100Weight 0.81
Establish and oversee administrative procedures to meet objectives set by boards of directors or senior management.
Importance 84/100Relevance 88/100Frequency 64/100Weight 0.81
Evaluate the work of staff and volunteers to ensure that programs are of appropriate quality and that resources are used effectively.
Importance 83/100Relevance 94/100Frequency 53/100Weight 0.79
Provide direct service and support to individuals or clients, such as handling a referral for child advocacy issues, conducting a needs evaluation, or resolving complaints.
Importance 80/100Relevance 87/100Frequency 57/100Weight 0.77
Prepare and maintain records and reports, such as budgets, personnel records, or training manuals.
Importance 80/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 45/100Weight 0.75
Establish and maintain relationships with other agencies and organizations in community to meet community needs and to ensure that services are not duplicated.
Importance 76/100Relevance 85/100Frequency 49/100Weight 0.73
Participate in the determination of organizational policies regarding such issues as participant eligibility, program requirements, and program benefits.
Importance 82/100Relevance 79/100Frequency 41/100Weight 0.70
Implement and evaluate staff, volunteer, or community training programs.
Importance 72/100Relevance 86/100Frequency 36/100Weight 0.68
Research and analyze member or community needs to determine program directions and goals.
Importance 72/100Relevance 84/100Frequency 33/100Weight 0.67
Recruit, interview, and hire or sign up volunteers and staff.
Importance 74/100Relevance 84/100Frequency 21/100Weight 0.65

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$80,390

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

209,330

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+7.2%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

18

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

75 points lower exposure • 59% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

80 points lower exposure • 55% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

80 points lower exposure • 54% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

73 points lower exposure • 59% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

11%

74 points lower exposure • 60% profile similarity

Median wage: $49,450 Growth 2025–2035: +1.5% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

80 points lower exposure • 55% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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