AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 43-5052.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Postal Service Mail Carriers?

Sort and deliver mail for the United States Postal Service (USPS). Deliver mail on established route by vehicle or on foot. Includes postal service mail carriers employed by USPS contractors.

Estimated AI task exposure
38%

Low-Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

21 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

30/100

Physical moat

15/100

Human moat

14/100

Rating coverage

100%

21 task statements / 21 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.
Importance 94/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 83/100Weight 0.94
Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.
Importance 90/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 74/100Weight 0.89
Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.
Importance 92/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.89
Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.
Importance 92/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.89
Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.
Importance 91/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.88
Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.
Importance 86/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 61/100Weight 0.85
Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 60/100Weight 0.84
Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.
Importance 90/100Relevance 84/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.82
Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.
Importance 86/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 49/100Weight 0.82
Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.
Importance 76/100Relevance 98/100Frequency 65/100Weight 0.82

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$60,550

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

328,820

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

-0.3%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

20

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines

5%

33 points lower exposure • 79% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,510 Growth 2025–2035: +6.7% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment

5%

33 points lower exposure • 80% profile similarity

Median wage: $84,890 Growth 2025–2035: +5.4% Annual openings: 0

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

33 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders

6%

32 points lower exposure • 80% profile similarity

Median wage: $58,870 Growth 2025–2035: +2.8% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Home Appliance Repairers

5%

33 points lower exposure • 80% profile similarity

Median wage: $50,990 Growth 2025–2035: +1.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Wind Turbine Service Technicians

5%

33 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $64,120 Growth 2025–2035: +29.5% Annual openings: 2

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

      PROTECT

      • domain expertise
      • exception handling
      • accountability for outcomes

      LEARN

      • cross-functional business knowledge
      • risk and governance

      AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

      What this score does not mean

      The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

      New in V11

      Find a Safer Career Path

      High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

      EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
      I am your guide.
      Knowledge is your strongest upgrade.