AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 51-4062.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic?

Lay out, machine, fit, and assemble castings and parts to metal or plastic foundry patterns, core boxes, or match plates.

Estimated AI task exposure
23%

Low-Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

15 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

36/100

Physical moat

62/100

Human moat

15/100

Rating coverage

100%

15 task statements / 15 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Verify conformance of patterns or template dimensions to specifications, using measuring instruments such as calipers, scales, and micrometers.
Importance 88/100Relevance 99/100Frequency 72/100Weight 0.89
Read and interpret blueprints or drawings of parts to be cast or patterns to be made, compute dimensions, and plan operational sequences.
Importance 90/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.86
Assemble pattern sections, using hand tools, bolts, screws, rivets, glue, or welding equipment.
Importance 82/100Relevance 89/100Frequency 60/100Weight 0.79
Set up and operate machine tools, such as milling machines, lathes, drill presses, and grinders, to machine castings or patterns.
Importance 76/100Relevance 89/100Frequency 61/100Weight 0.77
Repair and rework templates and patterns.
Importance 78/100Relevance 86/100Frequency 48/100Weight 0.74
Clean and finish patterns or templates, using emery cloths, files, scrapers, and power grinders.
Importance 77/100Relevance 83/100Frequency 50/100Weight 0.73
Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
Importance 75/100Relevance 83/100Frequency 52/100Weight 0.72
Lay out and draw or scribe patterns onto material, using compasses, protractors, rulers, scribes, or other instruments.
Importance 75/100Relevance 83/100Frequency 48/100Weight 0.71
Design and create templates, patterns, or coreboxes according to work orders, sample parts, or mockups.
Importance 74/100Relevance 75/100Frequency 50/100Weight 0.69
Construct platforms, fixtures, and jigs for holding and placing patterns.
Importance 69/100Relevance 81/100Frequency 48/100Weight 0.68

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$58,000

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

1,470

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

-22.8%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

0

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Helpers--Extraction Workers

5%

18 points lower exposure • 89% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,730 Growth 2025–2035: +1.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines

5%

18 points lower exposure • 90% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,510 Growth 2025–2035: +6.7% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

18 points lower exposure • 88% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders

6%

17 points lower exposure • 90% profile similarity

Median wage: $58,870 Growth 2025–2035: +2.8% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Home Appliance Repairers

5%

18 points lower exposure • 90% profile similarity

Median wage: $50,990 Growth 2025–2035: +1.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Wind Turbine Service Technicians

5%

18 points lower exposure • 89% profile similarity

Median wage: $64,120 Growth 2025–2035: +29.5% Annual openings: 2

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

    • physical-world execution
    • on-site troubleshooting
    • dexterity and equipment interaction

    LEARN

    • AI-assisted diagnostics
    • digital documentation
    • basic AI literacy

    AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

    What this score does not mean

    The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

    New in V11

    Find a Safer Career Path

    High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

    EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
    I am your guide.
    Knowledge is your strongest upgrade.