AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 29-1242.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric?

Diagnose and perform surgery to treat and prevent rheumatic and other diseases in the musculoskeletal system.

Estimated AI task exposure
31%

Low-Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

O*NET Task Ratings are not available for this occupation; V11 uses the documented fallback task/work-activity model.

Digital/info work

13/100

Physical moat

4/100

Human moat

0/100

Rating coverage

0%

15 task statements / 0 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Analyze patient's medical history, medication allergies, physical condition, and examination results to verify operation's necessity and to determine best procedure.
No task rating: fallback weight
Conduct research to develop and test surgical techniques that can improve operating procedures and outcomes related to musculoskeletal injuries and diseases.
No task rating: fallback weight
Diagnose bodily disorders and orthopedic conditions, and provide treatments, such as medicines and surgeries, in clinics, hospital wards, or operating rooms.
No task rating: fallback weight
Diagnose or treat disorders of the musculoskeletal system.
No task rating: fallback weight
Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, assistants, specialists, residents, and other medical staff.
No task rating: fallback weight
Examine instruments, equipment, and operating room to ensure sterility.
No task rating: fallback weight
Examine patient to obtain information on medical condition and surgical risk.
No task rating: fallback weight
Follow established surgical techniques during the operation.
No task rating: fallback weight
Manage surgery services, including planning, scheduling and coordination, determination of procedures, or procurement of supplies and equipment.
No task rating: fallback weight
Operate on patient's musculoskeletal system to correct deformities, repair injuries, prevent and treat diseases, or improve or restore patient's functions.
No task rating: fallback weight

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$358,550

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

14,100

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+4.0%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

0

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles

6%

25 points lower exposure • 81% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,460 Growth 2025–2035: +9.0% Annual openings: 2

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

5%

26 points lower exposure • 79% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,720 Growth 2025–2035: +0.7% Annual openings: 5

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Tile and Stone Setters

6%

25 points lower exposure • 81% profile similarity

Median wage: $55,690 Growth 2025–2035: +9.8% Annual openings: 3

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

5%

26 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $37,800 Growth 2025–2035: -6.5% Annual openings: 1

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators

5%

26 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $53,340 Growth 2025–2035: -0.9% Annual openings: 3

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Plasterers and Stucco Masons

5%

26 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $57,660 Growth 2025–2035: +2.8% Annual openings: 2

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

    AUGMENT

    • administrative support tasks
    • planning and documentation

    PROTECT

    • domain expertise
    • exception handling
    • accountability for outcomes

    LEARN

    • cross-functional business knowledge
    • risk and governance
    • basic AI literacy

    AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

    What this score does not mean

    The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

    New in V11

    Find a Safer Career Path

    High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

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