AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 11-9013.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers?

Plan, direct, or coordinate the management or operation of farms, ranches, greenhouses, aquacultural operations, nurseries, timber tracts, or other agricultural establishments. May hire, train, and supervise farm workers or contract for services to carry out the day-to-day activities of the managed operation. May engage in or supervise planting, cultivating, harvesting, and financial and marketing activities.

Estimated AI task exposure
56%

Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

20 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 67%.

Digital/info work

80/100

Physical moat

70/100

Human moat

34/100

Rating coverage

67%

30 task statements / 20 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.
Importance 84/100Relevance 89/100Frequency 83/100Weight 0.86
Collect and record growth, production, and environmental data.
Importance 86/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 49/100Weight 0.82
Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules.
Importance 77/100Relevance 92/100Frequency 62/100Weight 0.79
Determine how to allocate resources and to respond to unanticipated problems, such as insect infestation, drought, and fire.
Importance 78/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 39/100Weight 0.76
Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities.
Importance 71/100Relevance 93/100Frequency 59/100Weight 0.76
Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work.
Importance 72/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 45/100Weight 0.74
Maintain financial, operational, production, or employment records for farms or ranches.
Importance 72/100Relevance 92/100Frequency 46/100Weight 0.73
Direct and monitor the transfer of mature fish to lakes, ponds, streams, or commercial tanks.
Importance 78/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 36/100Weight 0.72
Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers.
Importance 74/100Relevance 78/100Frequency 53/100Weight 0.70
Provide information to customers on the care of trees, shrubs, flowers, plants, and lawns.
Importance 67/100Relevance 81/100Frequency 57/100Weight 0.70

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$89,900

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

6,500

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

-3.4%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

71

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

46 points lower exposure • 76% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

less digital task exposure, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

51 points lower exposure • 72% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

51 points lower exposure • 71% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

44 points lower exposure • 76% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

less digital task exposure, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Millwrights

5%

51 points lower exposure • 71% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,700 Growth 2025–2035: +0.9% Annual openings: 3

less digital task exposure, lower AI leverage
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electricians

17%

39 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $63,190 Growth 2025–2035: +9.2% Annual openings: 73

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • routine information gathering
  • first-pass document drafting
  • standard reporting and summarization
  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • research and analysis
  • quality checking AI-generated work
  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • physical-world execution
  • on-site troubleshooting
  • dexterity and equipment interaction

LEARN

  • AI-assisted research
  • workflow automation
  • data literacy
  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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