AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 11-9161.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Emergency Management Directors?

Plan and direct disaster response or crisis management activities, provide disaster preparedness training, and prepare emergency plans and procedures for natural (e.g., hurricanes, floods, earthquakes), wartime, or technological (e.g., nuclear power plant emergencies or hazardous materials spills) disasters or hostage situations.

Estimated AI task exposure
51%

Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

23 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

52/100

Physical moat

16/100

Human moat

40/100

Rating coverage

100%

23 task statements / 23 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Prepare emergency situation status reports that describe response and recovery efforts, needs, and preliminary damage assessments.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 44/100Weight 0.80
Consult with officials of local and area governments, schools, hospitals, and other institutions to determine their needs and capabilities in the event of a natural disaster or other emergency.
Importance 91/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 29/100Weight 0.79
Develop and maintain liaisons with municipalities, county departments, and similar entities to facilitate plan development, response effort coordination, and exchanges of personnel and equipment.
Importance 87/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 40/100Weight 0.78
Keep informed of activities or changes that could affect the likelihood of an emergency, response efforts, or plan implementation.
Importance 76/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 40/100Weight 0.76
Maintain and update all resource materials associated with emergency preparedness plans.
Importance 84/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 23/100Weight 0.75
Inspect facilities and equipment, such as emergency management centers and communications equipment, to determine their operational and functional capabilities in emergency situations.
Importance 76/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 26/100Weight 0.73
Prepare plans that outline operating procedures to be used in response to disasters or emergencies, such as hurricanes, nuclear accidents, and terrorist attacks, and in recovery from these events.
Importance 82/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 17/100Weight 0.73
Keep informed of federal, state, and local regulations affecting emergency plans, and ensure that plans adhere to those regulations.
Importance 75/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 26/100Weight 0.72
Collaborate with other officials to prepare and analyze damage assessments following disasters or emergencies.
Importance 77/100Relevance 100/100Frequency 23/100Weight 0.72
Coordinate disaster response or crisis management activities, such as ordering evacuations, opening public shelters, and implementing special needs plans and programs.
Importance 86/100Relevance 96/100Frequency 16/100Weight 0.72

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$93,330

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

13,500

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+3.9%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

1

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hydroelectric Production Managers

10%

41 points lower exposure • 76% profile similarity

Median wage: $126,060 Growth 2025–2035: +2.6% Annual openings: 17

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Chefs and Head Cooks

12%

39 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $62,470 Growth 2025–2035: +6.6% Annual openings: 25

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Butchers and Meat Cutters

5%

46 points lower exposure • 70% profile similarity

Median wage: $40,140 Growth 2025–2035: +2.4% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

11%

40 points lower exposure • 76% profile similarity

Median wage: $49,450 Growth 2025–2035: +1.5% Annual openings: 4

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bicycle Repairers

5%

46 points lower exposure • 68% profile similarity

Median wage: $42,780 Growth 2025–2035: -5.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

22%

29 points lower exposure • 82% profile similarity

Median wage: $59,050 Growth 2025–2035: +4.1% Annual openings: 21

more physical-world work, lower AI leverage

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

AUTOMATE

  • repeatable administrative workflows

AUGMENT

  • decision preparation
  • scenario generation

PROTECT

  • domain expertise
  • exception handling
  • accountability for outcomes

LEARN

  • prompt and workflow design
  • AI output verification
  • cross-functional business knowledge
  • risk and governance

AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

What this score does not mean

The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

New in V11

Find a Safer Career Path

High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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