AI JOB RISK SCANNER
O*NET-SOC 43-5021.00 / model V11 rated-task engine

Will AI replace
Couriers and Messengers?

Pick up and deliver messages, documents, packages, and other items between offices or departments within an establishment or directly to other business concerns, traveling by foot, bicycle, motorcycle, automobile, or public conveyance.

Estimated AI task exposure
41%

Moderate exposure

V11 weights occupation tasks using O*NET Importance, Relevance and Frequency ratings instead of treating every task equally.

16 tasks have usable Task Rating records; weighted-task coverage is 100%.

Digital/info work

49/100

Physical moat

50/100

Human moat

13/100

Rating coverage

100%

16 task statements / 16 rated

Highest-weighted occupation tasks

Walk, ride bicycles, drive vehicles, or use public conveyances to reach destinations to deliver messages or materials.
Importance 80/100Relevance 91/100Frequency 77/100Weight 0.83
Load vehicles with listed goods, ensuring goods are loaded correctly and taking precautions with hazardous goods.
Importance 78/100Relevance 83/100Frequency 86/100Weight 0.82
Sort items to be delivered according to the delivery route.
Importance 73/100Relevance 95/100Frequency 71/100Weight 0.81
Receive messages or materials to be delivered, and information on recipients, such as names, addresses, telephone numbers, and delivery instructions, communicated via telephone, two-way radio, or in person.
Importance 77/100Relevance 90/100Frequency 73/100Weight 0.81
Deliver messages and items, such as newspapers, documents, and packages, between establishment departments and to other establishments and private homes.
Importance 76/100Relevance 89/100Frequency 72/100Weight 0.80
Deliver and pick up medical records, lab specimens, and medications to and from hospitals and other medical facilities.
Importance 84/100Relevance 76/100Frequency 75/100Weight 0.79
Plan and follow the most efficient routes for delivering goods.
Importance 72/100Relevance 89/100Frequency 72/100Weight 0.79
Unload and sort items collected along delivery routes.
Importance 73/100Relevance 80/100Frequency 74/100Weight 0.76
Record information, such as items received and delivered and recipients' responses to messages.
Importance 75/100Relevance 75/100Frequency 69/100Weight 0.74
Perform routine maintenance on delivery vehicles, such as monitoring fluid levels and replenishing fuel.
Importance 70/100Relevance 78/100Frequency 68/100Weight 0.73

Task weighting

Each rated task receives a composite weight: 38% relevance, 37% importance and 25% frequency. Core tasks receive a small additional multiplier. Low-precision rows flagged by O*NET for suppression are excluded.

Occupation scoring

When rating coverage is strong, rated tasks contribute 60% of the digital, physical and human task signals and Work Activities contribute 40%. Lower-coverage occupations automatically rely more on Work Activities.

U.S. labor market

BLS Wage & Employment Outlook

Median annual wage

$39,200

BLS OEWS May 2025

National employment

68,640

BLS OEWS May 2025

Projected growth

+8.0%

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

Average annual openings

24

BLS Employment Projections 2025–2035

BLS labor-market figures are separate from the site's AI-exposure model. Missing values mean a compatible detailed BLS occupation estimate was not published or could not be mapped.

Career pivot radar

Safer Career Alternatives

These options are selected from the same 923-occupation model. They favor a similar task/work profile with meaningfully lower estimated AI exposure. They are suggestions for exploration, not guarantees of job fit.

SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Helpers--Extraction Workers

5%

36 points lower exposure • 79% profile similarity

Median wage: $47,730 Growth 2025–2035: +1.7% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines

5%

36 points lower exposure • 80% profile similarity

Median wage: $65,510 Growth 2025–2035: +6.7% Annual openings: 15

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electrical and Electronics Installers and Repairers, Transportation Equipment

5%

36 points lower exposure • 80% profile similarity

Median wage: $84,890 Growth 2025–2035: +5.4% Annual openings: 0

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Motorboat Mechanics and Service Technicians

5%

36 points lower exposure • 81% profile similarity

Median wage: $57,550 Growth 2025–2035: +4.9% Annual openings: 3

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

5%

36 points lower exposure • 78% profile similarity

Median wage: $56,210 Growth 2025–2035: +4.4% Annual openings: 1

stronger human/judgment moat, more physical-world work
SAFER ALTERNATIVE

Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders

6%

35 points lower exposure • 80% profile similarity

Median wage: $58,870 Growth 2025–2035: +2.8% Annual openings: 1

more physical-world work, less digital task exposure

Personalized career defense protocol

AI-Proofing Plan

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          AI-PROOFING RESOURCES

          What this score does not mean

          The percentage is a comparative task-exposure index. It is not the probability that this occupation disappears, that a worker is laid off, or that AI can perform the entire job.

          New in V11

          Find a Safer Career Path

          High exposure does not mean starting over. V11 compares your occupation with the other 922 O*NET occupations and surfaces lower-exposure options with similar work profiles.

          EXPLORE CAREER ALTERNATIVES
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